Cross-Market Thesis

โ€œHormuz transit stays below 30 shipsโ€

This trader is expressing a view that Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?, Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?, Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? are correlated outcomes, committing $12,003 to this thesis across 3 prediction markets on Polymarket.

Positions

  1. 1Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
    $1,330 @ 88ยข
  2. 2Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
    $2,048 @ 75ยข
  3. 3Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
    $8,624 @ 85ยข
Hormuz transit stays below 30 ships โ€” Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter