Cross-Market Thesis

Messi wins, Yamal and Kane don’t

This trader is expressing a view that Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?, Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?, Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? are correlated outcomes, committing $13,922 to this thesis across 3 prediction markets on Polymarket.

T
Trader_0xfa77f70% win rate

Total

$13,922

Markets

3

Positions

  1. 1Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
    $1,422 @ 26¢
  2. 2Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
    $2,500 @ 42¢
  3. 3Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
    $10,000 @ 83¢
Messi wins, Yamal and Kane don’t — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter