Part of: Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
This prediction market asks whether Harry Kane will win the 2026 Ballon d’Or, with the outcome based on the official France Football winner. The market is scheduled to resolve on October 31, 2026; if no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, it resolves to “Other.” Current odds are not included in the available market metadata.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
43 smart money signals detected, totaling $715,767.
Categories: Soccer, Sports, Awards
Notable Trades
Profitable trader adds to large Yes position
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader added roughly $50,300 to an existing Yes position, alongside a sharp volume spike.
- This trader is up $466,593 across resolved bets and has a 66% win rate.
- They added about $50,300 to an existing Yes position as market volume spiked 51.9x above its historical average.
$50,300 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 67%
Profitable bettor scaling into Yes
A highly profitable bettor with a 70% win rate is adding a $61.5K Yes position and has related positioning across three markets in the event.
- This bettor has won 70% of 47 resolved trades and is up about $935K.
- They added $61.5K in Yes after already investing about $149K in the same position.
- The wallet has positioned across three related markets, with about $185K in total event exposure.
$61,479 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 75%
Profitable serial trader scaling Yes
A highly profitable bettor with 360 resolved trades and a 26-point win-rate edge is adding $75,271 to an existing Kane position amid a major volume spike.
- This bettor has won 81% of 360 resolved trades and earned $2.34M in profit.
- They added $75,271 to an existing Yes position as market volume spiked 54× above its historical average.
- The entry was 74¢, with the market now at 79¢.
$74,583 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%
Profitable bettor scaling into Yes
A highly experienced profitable bettor is adding to an existing Yes position, with a strong long-term record and extensive cross-market activity.
- This bettor has won 78% of 986 resolved trades and is up $47,615.
- They added $2,417 to an existing Yes position, bringing their investment on this outcome to $6,260.
- The trader has placed bets across 36 events, suggesting an established cross-market strategy.
$2,239 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 78%
Profitable bettor scaling into Yes
A highly experienced profitable bettor is adding to an existing Yes position, with a strong long-term record and extensive cross-market activity.
- This bettor has won 78% of 986 resolved trades and is up $47,615.
- They added $2,417 to an existing Yes position, bringing their investment on this outcome to $6,260.
- The trader has placed bets across 36 events, suggesting an established cross-market strategy.
$3,930 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 78%
Seven-wallet linked cluster backs Kane
A seven-wallet common-funder cluster is linked to this position, and the trader has a large profitable history, though the entry is near current market odds.
- Seven wallets tied to a common funder are associated with $1,246 of buying on Yes.
- The trader is up $212,070 across 304 resolved bets, though their 65% win rate does not clearly beat their average winning price.
- The Yes shares were bought at 71¢, matching the current market odds.
$1,518 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 66%
Profitable serial trader scaling Yes
A highly profitable bettor with 360 resolved trades and a 26-point win-rate edge is adding $75,271 to an existing Kane position amid a major volume spike.
- This bettor has won 81% of 360 resolved trades and earned $2.34M in profit.
- They added $75,271 to an existing Yes position as market volume spiked 54× above its historical average.
- The entry was 74¢, with the market now at 79¢.
$75,271 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%
Proven winner adding to a large position
A highly profitable bettor with 360 resolved trades added $78.5K to an existing Yes position during a 52x volume spike.
- This bettor wins 81% of 360 resolved trades and is up $2.34M.
- They added $78.5K to an existing Yes position, bringing their reported investment in it to over $190K.
- Trading activity was 52x the market's historical average.
$78,526 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%
Serial trader adds to No
Three wallets are buying No amid a 10.7x volume spike, and this high-volume serial trader is adding to an existing No position.
- Three wallets are betting No, totaling $6,116, alongside a 10.7x spike in market activity.
- This bettor has a 78% win rate across 2,927 resolved bets and is adding to a $14,015 No position.
- The trade entered No at 36¢, while the market has recently moved against Yes.
$1,118 on No | Wallet win rate: 77%
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
A highly experienced, profitable serial cross-market trader bought Yes, with a substantial resolved-bet record and a notable market-volume spike.
- This bettor has 6,428 resolved trades, a 71% win rate, and is up about $98,500 lifetime.
- They placed a $2,109 Yes bet as market volume ran 11 times above its historical average.
- The market is already at 73% Yes, so the entry is a confident bet at relatively short odds.
$2,109 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 71%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $5,374,721
- 0x2c33...0563 — No, $709,294 (56% win rate)
- 0xfe49...7a4c — No, $176,190 (50% win rate)
- 0x39bc...28e9 — No, $119,592 (50% win rate)
- 0x9158...fa7b — No, $67,976 (95% win rate)
- 0xfaeb...e98e — No, $58,560 (94% win rate)
- 0x44a1...bd21 — No, $55,000 (66% win rate)
- 0xf031...c80c — No, $47,132 (89% win rate)
- 0x3e35...4f69 — No, $27,681 (80% win rate)
- 0x8725...eb10 — No, $26,281 (85% win rate)
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