Cross-Market Thesis

Yamal won’t win; Rodri or Kane

This trader is expressing a view that Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?, Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?, Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? are correlated outcomes, committing $12,372 to this thesis across 3 prediction markets on Polymarket.

S
Sharp_0x3814185% win rate

Total

$12,372

Markets

3

Positions

  1. 1Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
    $1,079 @ 90¢
  2. 2Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
    $9,293 @ 72¢
  3. 3Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
    $2,000 @ 40¢
Yamal won’t win; Rodri or Kane — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter