Cross-Market Thesis

“Ceasefire arrives after July 24”

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?, US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? are correlated outcomes, committing $8,324 to this thesis across 2 prediction markets on Polymarket.

W
Wallet_0x7c6ad63% win rate

Total

$8,324

Markets

2

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
    $3,324 @ 27¢
  2. 2US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
    $5,000 @ 86¢
Ceasefire arrives after July 24 — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter