Cross-Market Thesis

“US-Iran ceasefire by July 31”

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?, US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? are correlated outcomes, committing $4,958 to this thesis across 2 prediction markets on Polymarket.

W
Whale_0xdacf985% win rate

Total

$4,958

Markets

2

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?
    $1,575 @ 68¢
  2. 2US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
    $3,383 @ 47¢
US-Iran ceasefire by July 31 — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter