Cross-Market Thesis

Cross-Market Thesis

This trader is expressing a view that Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?, Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?, Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th? are correlated outcomes, committing $14,491 to this thesis across 3 prediction markets on Polymarket.

Positions

  1. 1Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
    $1,000 @ 12¢
  2. 2Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
    $6,000 @ 80¢
  3. 3Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?
    $7,491 @ 90¢