Part of: Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?
7 smart money signals detected, totaling $40,206.
Categories: Politics, Middle East, Geopolitics, Trump, Iran, US-Iran, U.S. x Iran, Iran Ceasefire, Diplomacy & Ceasefire
Notable Trades
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?
A proven high-volume bettor with a 75% win rate is re-entering and sizing up on No as part of a broader 3-market event thesis.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades across 270 markets and is up $142.9k lifetime
- They are betting across 3 related markets in this event with $39.2k total, suggesting a coordinated thesis rather than a one-off trade
- This is a fresh re-entry into No at 88¢ after previously closing a smaller position, showing renewed conviction
$7,625 on No | Wallet win rate: 74%
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?
A profitable 75% win-rate wallet is re-entering a sizable No position as part of a broader 3-market thesis on the same event.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up about $143k lifetime
- They placed a $9.4k bet as part of a 3-market view on the same event, suggesting a deliberate thesis rather than a one-off punt
- They are buying No around 89¢ in a liquid market, reinforcing a high-confidence view that no qualifying end announcement comes by April 7
$9,369 on No | Wallet win rate: 74%
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?
A wallet with a strong early track record bought No at 85¢ in a news-driven geopolitical market, and it is also positioning across related markets in the same event.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $8.6k so far
- They put $3.6k into No at 85¢ on a news-driven market, showing clear conviction
- The wallet is also trading 2 related markets in the same event, suggesting a broader thesis
$3,600 on No | Wallet win rate: 90%
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?
A proven high-volume trader with an 83% win rate is making a fresh cross-market event bet, buying No at 88¢ in line with a broader thesis across 5 related Iran-operation markets.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades across 232 markets and has deployed $1.87M total
- They have put $81,090 across 5 related markets in this same event, pointing to a clear event-wide thesis
- Bought No at 88¢ and the market is now 92¢, so this entry already looks better than current odds
$5,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 81%
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?
A 26-day-old wallet has already made nine large flagged bets and is pressing a sizable position into a politically driven event market, suggesting real conviction despite no resolved track record yet.
- This 26-day-old wallet has already triggered 9 large-bet alerts and put over $53k into flagged trades
- They just bought No with $7.5k at 90¢, a strong high-confidence stance in a politics market
- The wallet is also betting across 2 related event markets, suggesting a broader thesis rather than a one-off punt
$7,491 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?
A profitable high-volume bettor with a 70% win rate sold No into a very thin market, effectively taking Yes at a better price than the current odds while also showing related-event positioning.
- This bettor has won 450 of 641 resolved trades and is up about $411k lifetime.
- They sold No at 71¢ in a market with only about $3k of 24-hour volume, a bet bigger than the entire day's flow.
- That exit price implies a Yes position around 29¢, below the current 34¢ market price.
$3,100 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 62%
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?
A proven profitable bettor with 641 resolved trades bought No in a very thin geopolitical market with a $4,020 order that exceeded the market’s full 24h volume.
- This bettor has won 70% of 641 resolved trades and is up $411k lifetime
- The $4,020 buy was bigger than the market’s entire $2,996 24-hour volume, showing real conviction
- They’re betting No at 67¢ in a geopolitical market where informed positioning is more plausible than in meme markets
$4,020 on No | Wallet win rate: 62%
Top Holders
- 0xfc2f...10c7 — Outcome 40248933, $71,318 (85% win rate)
- 0xde7b...5f4b — Outcome 40248933, $43,173 (86% win rate)
- 0xa022...77f8 — Outcome 40248933, $34,603 (65% win rate)
- 0x14cf...c320 — Outcome 40248933, $33,989
- 0x9648...6825 — Outcome 40248933, $20,939 (70% win rate)
- 0x4ea6...b249 — Outcome 40248933, $16,530 (37% win rate)
- 0x75ac...8cd8 — Outcome 40248933, $6,520
- 0xdaef...54e9 — Outcome 40248933, $6,072 (63% win rate)
- 0x24c8...23e1 — Outcome 40248933, $5,982 (41% win rate)
- 0x7bb7...44f2 — Outcome 40248933, $5,136
