Cross-Market Thesis

“Conflicting Iran blockade bets”

This trader is expressing a view that US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?, US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?, US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? are correlated outcomes, committing $20,115 to this thesis across 3 prediction markets on Polymarket.

S
Sharp_0xbf96180% win rate

Total

$20,115

Markets

3

Positions

  1. 1US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
    $7,565 @ 76¢
  2. 2US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
    $3,750 @ 60¢
  3. 3US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?
    $8,800 @ 88¢
Conflicting Iran blockade bets — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter