Cross-Market Thesis

“Russia captures Kostyantynivka in Q4”

This trader is expressing a view that Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?, Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? are correlated outcomes, committing $2,848 to this thesis across 2 prediction markets on Polymarket.

T
Trader_0x44dab69% win rate

Total

$2,848

Markets

2

Positions

  1. 1Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?
    $1,048 @ 89¢
  2. 2Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
    $1,800 @ 49¢
Russia captures Kostyantynivka in Q4 — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter