Cross-Market Thesis

Farage wins 60–70% in Clacton

This trader is expressing a view that Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?, Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? are correlated outcomes, committing $2,880 to this thesis across 2 prediction markets on Polymarket.

T
Trader_0xe234966% win rate

Total

$2,880

Markets

2

Positions

  1. 1Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
    $1,160 @ 58¢
  2. 2Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
    $1,720 @ 86¢
Farage wins 60–70% in Clacton — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter