Cross-Market Thesis

Farage wins 60–70% in Clacton

This trader is expressing a view that Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?, Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? are correlated outcomes, committing $7,796 to this thesis across 2 prediction markets on Polymarket.

Positions

  1. 1Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
    $1,676 @ 81¢
  2. 2Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
    $6,120 @ 84¢
Farage wins 60–70% in Clacton — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter