Cross-Market Thesis

Flávio Bolsonaro will win election

This trader is expressing a view that Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?, Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?, Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? are correlated outcomes, committing $9,200 to this thesis across 3 prediction markets on Polymarket.

Positions

  1. 1Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    $1,689 @ 55¢
  2. 2Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    $1,660 @ 89¢
  3. 3Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    $5,851 @ 43¢
Flávio Bolsonaro will win election — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter