Cross-Market Thesis

“Flávio Bolsonaro wins Brazil election”

This trader is expressing a view that Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?, Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?, Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? are correlated outcomes, committing $4,113 to this thesis across 3 prediction markets on Polymarket.

W
Whale_0xeb49088% win rate

Total

$4,113

Markets

3

Positions

  1. 1Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    $1,084 @ 36¢
  2. 2Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    $1,660 @ 89¢
  3. 3Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    $1,369 @ 34¢
Flávio Bolsonaro wins Brazil election — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter