Part of: Brazil Presidential Election

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

This prediction market asks whether Renan Santos will win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, scheduled for October 4, 2026, including any potential second round. PolySpotter currently tracks $4,108 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal on this market, including a recent alert for a brand-new longshot backer. The market resolves based on credible reporting of the election winner, or to “Other” if the result is not known by June 30, 2027.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $4,108.

Categories: Brazil, Global Elections, World Elections, World, Politics, Macro Election 2, Main Election

Notable Trades

Brand-new longshot backer

A brand-new wallet made a repeat large political bet, putting $4.1k on a 15¢ longshot with no track record yet but clear early conviction.

  • A 4-hour-old wallet has already made $5.3k in flagged large bets.
  • This $4.1k buy at 15¢ is a high-conviction position on a long-dated political market.
  • No resolved history yet, so this is more of a wallet to follow than a proven sharp.

$4,108 on Yes

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $1,565,555
  2. 0xbc75...3f69 — No, $88,826 (75% win rate)
  3. 0xbd30...7c23 — Yes, $88,091
  4. 0x2cf5...611f — Yes, $78,473
  5. 0xc2a2...9fd9 — Yes, $67,145
  6. 0xd0a5...e193 — Yes, $55,275
  7. 0xb62e...169a — Yes, $48,415
  8. 0x38c7...6a6e — Yes, $45,122
  9. 0x387a...ba09 — Yes, $42,876
  10. 0x67c6...2ebe — Yes, $41,421

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

131dBrazil Presidential Election$4,108 tracked1 signalBrazilGlobal ElectionsWorld ElectionsWorldPoliticsMacro Election 2Main Election
Yes
13¢
No
87¢

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Price History — “No”
92¢
88¢
83¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

3h ago

$4,108 on Yes at 15¢

15¢→13¢↓2¢