Trader_0xaf458 — Silver Polymarket Trader

Trader_0xaf458 is a Silver-tier Polymarket trader who has generated -$8,563 in losses with a 69% win rate across $1,473,152 invested on Polymarket.

Trading Performance

Win Rate
69%
Total P&L
-$8,563
Total Invested
$1,473,152
Tier
Silver

Recent Markets

T
Trader_0xaf45869% win rate

0xaf458bee32b8f1d9ba39ee876f20c7e3ce62ec7d

P&L

-$8,563

Win Rate

69%

Markets

26

W/L

11/5

Flagged

0x

Past Positions

WIN

Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by June 30?

No · Entry 78¢ → 100¢

$8,699

+$1,899

EXITED

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No · Entry 97¢ → 97¢

$10,000

+$30

EXITED

Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31?

Yes · Entry 58¢ → 49¢

$209

-$33

EXITED

Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31?

No · Entry 57¢ → 53¢

$106

-$7

EXITED

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Yes · Entry 29¢ → 26¢

$124

-$15

EXITED

Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?

Yes · Entry 49¢ → 49¢

$3,905

+$36

LOSS

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes · Entry 4¢ → 0¢

$220,000

-$2,592

WIN

Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?

No · Entry 87¢ → 100¢

$4,261

+$388

EXITED

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?

Yes · Entry 52¢ → 51¢

$34

-$1

WIN

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Yes · Entry 99¢ → 100¢

$50,000

+$283

LOSS

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Yes · Entry 4¢ → 0¢

$294,766

-$9,939

EXITED

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?

No · Entry 66¢ → 67¢

$255

+$5

WIN

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 31-April 6?

Yes · Entry 98¢ → 100¢

$10,964

+$172

WIN

Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?

No · Entry 96¢ → 100¢

$121,958

+$5,125

LOSS

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes · Entry 4¢ → 0¢

$16,183

+$170

WIN

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Yes · Entry 93¢ → 100¢

$17,732

+$1,277

WIN

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

No · Entry 98¢ → 100¢

$77,913

+$1,217

LOSS

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Yes · Entry 7¢ → 0¢

$145,504

-$6,463

WIN

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Yes · Entry 55¢ → 100¢

$18,728

-$375

WIN

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Yes · Entry 25¢ → 100¢

$8,105

-$81

Recent Alerts

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

$2,459

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

$6,017

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Sharp macro bettor

$7,117

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Winning macro bettor

$4,672

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Fed thesis from winning bettor

$2,227