Smart Money Alert: US forces enter Iran by March 31?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count. US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count. Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A linked 12-wallet cluster put $152k behind Yes via equivalent No sells in a major geopolitics market, including one elite 99% win-rate wallet, making this coordinated conviction worth surfacing despite mixed individual records.
Total
$151,987
Trades
15
Analysis
- 12 wallets tied together put $152k on Yes in the same market, a strong coordinated directional bet.
- One wallet in the group has won 113 of 114 resolved bets and is up about $889k lifetime.
- Most of the size came from selling No at 54¢ to 75¢, which is equivalent to buying Yes well above today's 22¢ price.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 43¢
Detected March 29, 2026 at 8:05 PM