85% winner buys No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A proven high-volume wallet with an 85% win rate and nearly $397k in profit is buying No at 89¢ in a geopolitics market, fitting a serial cross-market bettor worth following despite modest size.
Total
$2,670
Trades
1
Win Rate
85%
Wallet P&L
+$415,537
Analysis
- This bettor wins 85% of their trades and is up about $397k lifetime
- They have bet across 72 markets in 34 events, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit
- Bought No at 89¢ in a liquid geopolitics market, signaling they see the strike risk as lower than the market implies
Copy Trade
Buy No at 89¢
Detected April 23, 2026 at 8:41 PM