85% win-rate event specialist

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A highly profitable 85% win-rate trader with over $400k in realized profits is making a sizable cross-market bet on the same geopolitical event, backing No at 84¢.
Total
$7,546
Trades
1
Win Rate
85%
Wallet P&L
+$415,537
Analysis
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up about $404k lifetime.
- They have traded 75 markets across 34 related events, suggesting a repeatable edge in event-driven markets.
- They bought No at 84¢, a clear high-conviction view that leadership change by May 31 is unlikely.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 84¢
Detected April 24, 2026 at 12:08 PM