84% win-rate event trader

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A highly profitable cross-market trader with an 84% win rate is expressing a fresh view across multiple related markets, and this trade converts to buying Yes at 40¢.
Total
$1,800
Trades
1
Win Rate
85%
Wallet P&L
+$415,537
Analysis
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up about $416k lifetime
- They have bet across 83 markets in 35 events, which suggests a repeatable event-trading edge
- This sale of No at 60¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 40¢, near the current ask
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 40¢
Detected April 25, 2026 at 2:28 AM