84% win-rate event specialist

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A highly profitable 84% win-rate trader is expressing a broader event thesis across three related markets, and this trade translates into buying Yes around 41¢ on a liquid news-driven market.
Total
$1,775
Trades
1
Win Rate
85%
Wallet P&L
+$415,537
Analysis
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up about $419k lifetime
- They have bet $34k across 3 related markets in this same event, pointing to a clear thesis rather than a one-off trade
- Selling No at 59¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 41¢, close to the current 40¢ ask
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 41¢
Detected April 26, 2026 at 12:44 AM