Smart Money SignalScore: 11.0

84% win-rate event specialist

Iran leadership change by December 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

A highly profitable 84% win-rate trader is expressing a broader event thesis across three related markets, and this trade translates into buying Yes around 41¢ on a liquid news-driven market.

Total

$1,775

Trades

1

Win Rate

85%

Wallet P&L

+$415,537

Analysis

Copy Trade

Buy Yes at 41¢

MojtabaayatollahPoliticsIran RegimeGeopoliticsIranKhameneiMojtaba KhameneiKhamenei outMojtaba out
View all alerts for Iran leadership change by December 31?

Detected April 26, 2026 at 12:44 AM

84% win-rate event specialist | PolySpotter