74% cross-market bettor buys NO

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A profitable serial cross-market trader with a 74% record is buying No as part of a broader $24k Iran-event position amid a major volume spike.
Total
$1,740
Trades
1
Win Rate
74%
Wallet P&L
+$228,299
Analysis
- This bettor has won 74% of 326 resolved trades and is up about $220k lifetime.
- They are positioning across 4 related markets with about $24k total, suggesting a broader Iran thesis.
- Market activity spiked 175x above normal, adding momentum behind the move.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 87¢
Detected April 29, 2026 at 6:02 AM