85% winner, 15-wallet cluster
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 85% resolved win rate is buying Yes, backed by a 15-wallet funded cluster signal despite modest sizing.
Total
$1,793
Trades
1
Win Rate
85%
Wallet P&L
+$1,293,701
Analysis
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved bets and is up $1.26M lifetime.
- The wallet is part of a 15-wallet group funded by the same source.
- Buying Yes at 71¢ implies they still see value despite the market already pricing Massie as the favorite.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 71¢
Detected April 30, 2026 at 12:27 AM