Proven cross-market bettor

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A highly experienced profitable wallet with a 74% win rate is making a fresh $8k No bet as part of a larger $57k cross-market Iran leadership thesis.
Total
$8,000
Trades
1
Win Rate
74%
Wallet P&L
+$156,276
Analysis
- This bettor has won 74% of 1,005 resolved trades and is up $158,721 lifetime.
- They have $57,241 positioned across 5 related markets, suggesting a broader Iran leadership thesis.
- The $8,000 No buy at 80¢ is a fresh re-entry after closing a smaller prior No position.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 80¢
Detected April 30, 2026 at 5:34 AM