85% winner buying YES
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with an 85% historical win rate is buying Yes on a political primary market.
Total
$1,453
Trades
1
Win Rate
85%
Wallet P&L
+$1,498,481
Analysis
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up about $1.5M lifetime.
- They are a serial political/event trader across 25 events with over $209K in cross-market activity.
- Entry at 72¢ suggests they still see value despite Yes already being the favorite.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 72¢
Detected April 30, 2026 at 8:11 AM