Profitable whale backs No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count. A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A highly profitable political bettor put $149k on No, backed by a 78% resolved-trade win record and nearly $3M in P&L.
Total
$149,421
Trades
1
Win Rate
81%
Wallet P&L
+$3,123,749
Analysis
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up about $3.0M lifetime.
- They placed a large $149k bet on No at 86¢, showing strong conviction in a major political market.
- The market is liquid, so this looks less like noise and more like a deliberate high-stakes position.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 86¢
Detected April 30, 2026 at 9:38 AM