15-wallet cluster buying NO

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A known 15-wallet funded cluster with an 87% hit rate is placing a $9.4k status-quo bet on a geopolitical market.
Total
$9,450
Trades
1
Win Rate
87%
Wallet P&L
-$107,525
Analysis
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved markets across 930 bets, though mostly on heavy favorites.
- The wallet is part of a 15-wallet funded cluster with over $8.5M in cross-market trading history.
- A $9.4k buy at 87¢ signals confidence that Iran’s leadership will not change by May 31.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 87¢
Detected May 1, 2026 at 7:07 AM