Profitable serial event trader

This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. government personnel (military, DEA, CIA, or any other agency) directly participate on the ground in an anti-cartel operation or conduct a kinetic strike directed against a cartel on foreign soil by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. U.S. personnel must directly participate to qualify. U.S. personnel involved in intelligence, surveillance, logistical, support, or advisory roles will not count. Only direct U.S. participation, confirmed by the U.S. Government or by an overwhelming consensus of reporting, will count. For example, previous operations such as the 2014 capture of Joaquín "El Chapo" Guzmán, in which U.S. forces were rumored to have been embedded with Mexican Marines, would not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the U.S. government; however, an overwhelming consensus of reporting may also be used.
A profitable serial cross-market trader is re-entering Yes on a high-momentum political/security market after previously catching a much lower Yes entry.
Total
$2,302
Trades
1
Win Rate
66%
Wallet P&L
+$286,371
Analysis
- This bettor has 1,035 resolved trades, a 66% hit rate, and is up about $282K lifetime.
- They previously bought Yes around 47¢ and are now re-entering at 87¢ after a major move.
- Yes is up 65 percentage points in the past day, suggesting strong momentum behind the trade.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 87¢
Detected May 1, 2026 at 11:33 AM