Profitable serial geopolitics trader

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A profitable serial cross-market trader is adding $2.8k to No on a quiet geopolitical market, including a well-timed 75¢ entry that has already moved to 90¢.
Total
$2,849
Trades
2
Win Rate
70%
Wallet P&L
+$39,083
Analysis
- This bettor wins 70% of resolved trades and is up $38k across nearly 300 bets.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with activity across 37 events and $174k in tracked volume.
- Their 75¢ No entry has already moved to 90¢, suggesting they caught a strong repricing early.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 80¢
Detected May 3, 2026 at 12:27 PM