70% winner buys quiet NO

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Naim Qassem ceases to be Hezbollah’s secretary-general for any length of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Naim Qassem will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Hezbollah’s secretary-general within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Profitable serial cross-market trader bought No in a very quiet geopolitical market, with the trade equal to about 15x the past day's volume.
Total
$1,848
Trades
1
Win Rate
70%
Wallet P&L
+$39,083
Analysis
- This bettor wins 70% of resolved bets and is up $38K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 37 events with $175K placed.
- The $1.8K No buy was about 15x the market’s 24h volume, showing conviction in a quiet book.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 84¢
Detected May 3, 2026 at 12:27 PM