Profitable cross-market specialist

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Profitable serial cross-market trader with a 74% resolved win rate is re-entering No and has $74k positioned across six related markets in the same Iran event.
Total
$1,083
Trades
1
Win Rate
74%
Wallet P&L
+$156,276
Analysis
- This bettor has won 74% of 1,020 resolved bets and is up $155k lifetime.
- They have $74k spread across six related markets in this Iran leadership event.
- Buying No at 90¢ suggests a high-conviction view that leadership change remains unlikely by May 31.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 90¢
Detected May 5, 2026 at 12:53 PM