86% winner buying NO
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with an 86% resolved-bet win rate bought $6.8k of No at 25¢ on a political primary market.
Total
$6,807
Trades
1
Win Rate
86%
Wallet P&L
+$1,204,101
Analysis
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved bets and is up $1.2M lifetime.
- They are a major cross-market political trader, with $4.3M deployed across 163 markets.
- Buying No at 25¢ means they are betting Massie’s nomination odds are overstated.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 25¢
Detected May 5, 2026 at 5:33 PM