Undefeated serial political bettor

This market will resolve according to the party that controls the House of Representatives following the 2026 U.S. House elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. House control is defined as having more than half of the voting members of the U.S. House of Representatives. If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Speaker of the House is selected following the 2026 U.S. general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the Speaker is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected Speaker does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”. Determination of which party controls the House after the 2026 U.S. House elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.
Serial cross-market political bettor with a 29-0 resolved record is buying $12.5k of Democratic House control at 83¢, though the market is liquid and long-dated.
Total
$12,450
Trades
1
Win Rate
100%
Wallet P&L
+$26,410
Analysis
- This bettor is 29-for-29 on resolved markets and has put $743k across 31 markets.
- They are taking a fresh $12.5k position on Yes at 83¢ in a major political market.
- Entry at 83¢ leaves about 20% upside if Democratic House control resolves Yes.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 83¢
Detected May 6, 2026 at 3:54 PM