Profitable serial trader fading Yes

A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader is fading Mette Frederiksen after a sharp weekly move against Yes.
Total
$3,361
Trades
1
Win Rate
72%
Wallet P&L
+$453,861
Analysis
- This bettor wins 71% of resolved bets and is up about $463k lifetime.
- They have traded across 83 events with $2.7M total volume, suggesting a repeatable cross-market process.
- Selling Yes at 66¢ is equivalent to buying No at 34¢, alongside a 27.5-point weekly drop in Yes odds.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 34¢
Detected May 9, 2026 at 4:54 PM