Serial cross-market sharp cluster

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Three wallets are buying No together, led by a serial cross-market trader with a 93% resolved win rate and very large prior volume across related markets.
Total
$6,457
Trades
3
Analysis
- A serial cross-market bettor with a 93% win record has traded across 148 events and $2.9M total volume.
- Three wallets bought the same No outcome within minutes, adding $6.5K of coordinated one-way flow.
- The strongest wallet is positioning across 4 related markets with $163K traded, suggesting a broader Iran leadership thesis.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 82¢
Detected May 11, 2026 at 2:08 AM