Repeat new whale buying No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hezbollah officially announces it will disarm in Lebanon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only announcements supported by the Secretary-General of Hezbollah (currently Naim Qassem), a direct successor, or, if the position of Secretary-General of Hezbollah is vacant, the widely acknowledged leadership of Hezbollah will qualify. For the purposes of this market, "disarm" refers to a public commitment to relinquish or dismantle its military, whether partially or completely, in Lebanon. Announcements of partial disarmament (e.g., surrendering a class of weapons or agreeing to disarm in stages or a certain region) will qualify as long as it is part of an acknowledged disarmament process. Only official announcements will qualify. Informal statements, plans contingent on future conditions, statements of intent without a formal policy directive, or any other statements that do not constitute a formal policy announcement will not be considered. Primary resolution sources will include official statements from Hezbollah leadership; however, a wide consensus of credible reporting confirming a policy of disarmament has been instituted will also qualify.
A repeat new large bettor put $9.5k into No amid a major volume spike, but the wallet has no resolved track record yet.
Total
$9,504
Trades
4
Wallet P&L
+$0
Analysis
- A new wallet with 11 large-bet flags has now put $26k into flagged positions.
- This trade added $9.5k to No in four quick buys at 88¢.
- Market activity surged 63x above normal, and the price has moved toward No over the past week.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 88¢
Detected May 11, 2026 at 3:19 PM