81% winner hedging election

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Surfaced because the bettor has a strong 81% record across 220 resolved markets and is making a cross-market Colombian election position, despite negative lifetime P&L and a modest signal score.
Total
$1,597
Trades
1
Win Rate
81%
Wallet P&L
-$24,434
Analysis
- This bettor has won 81% of 220 resolved trades, making the wallet worth tracking despite mixed profits.
- They are betting across related Colombian election markets, suggesting a broader view on the race.
- Buying No at 86¢ is a lower-upside but high-confidence position against Espriella finishing first.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 86¢
Detected May 13, 2026 at 2:13 AM