81% political cross-market bettor

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Surface because this is a high-volume political bettor with an 81% resolved win rate making a $5k cross-market position, though lifetime P&L is negative and many wins were short-priced.
Total
$5,044
Trades
1
Win Rate
81%
Wallet P&L
-$24,434
Analysis
- This bettor has won 81% of 220 resolved markets, with nearly $2.85M traded lifetime.
- They put $5k on No and have $10.9k positioned across two related Colombian election markets.
- The bet is on a liquid political market at 88¢, suggesting a lower-upside but high-conviction fade of this candidate.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 88¢
Detected May 13, 2026 at 2:31 AM