Elite macro cross-market sharp
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Jerome Powell's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Surface: this is an elite serial cross-market bettor with an 89% win rate and $1.5M profit buying No on Powell-out after a large price drop.
Total
$2,498
Trades
1
Win Rate
89%
Wallet P&L
+$1,607,328
Analysis
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $1.5M lifetime.
- They have traded 79 markets across 65 events, with $14.2M in tracked cross-market volume.
- Buying No at 87¢ follows a sharp move down in Yes odds, suggesting they expect Powell to remain Fed Chair through May 15.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 87¢
Detected May 15, 2026 at 4:52 PM