Part of: Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Jerome Powell's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,498.

Categories: Politics, Jerome Powell, MAGA, Economic Policy, Fed, US Politics, Fed Rates, Trump, Fed Chair

Notable Trades

Elite macro cross-market sharp

Surface: this is an elite serial cross-market bettor with an 89% win rate and $1.5M profit buying No on Powell-out after a large price drop.

This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $1.5M lifetime.
They have traded 79 markets across 65 events, with $14.2M in tracked cross-market volume.
Buying No at 87¢ follows a sharp move down in Yes odds, suggesting they expect Powell to remain Fed Chair through May 15.

$2,498 on No | Wallet win rate: 89%