Pro cross-market fade

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
A highly active cross-market trader with a strong long-run record bought nearly $19k of No amid a major volume spike, fading Trump's 2026 Nobel Peace Prize odds after a recent price rise.
Total
$18,980
Trades
1
Win Rate
67%
Wallet P&L
+$275,376
Analysis
- This bettor has traded 136 markets across 79 events and is up $276k lifetime.
- They bought nearly $19k of No at 88¢, fading a Trump Nobel move after Yes rose 5 points this week.
- Market volume is running 18.6x normal, so this trade is part of a notable surge in attention.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 88¢
Detected May 15, 2026 at 8:56 PM