Million-profit sharp bettor

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Surfaced due to a proven sharp wallet with 77% wins across 1,074 resolved bets and $1.8M lifetime profit buying No despite only a modest signal score.
Total
$4,450
Trades
1
Win Rate
77%
Wallet P&L
+$1,804,388
Analysis
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $1.8M lifetime.
- They have a large 1,074-bet track record, making the wallet itself the signal.
- Buying No at 89¢ suggests they see Trump winning the 2026 Nobel as even less likely than the market implies.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 89¢
Detected May 15, 2026 at 9:15 PM