82% winner buys No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of resignations or firings will not alone qualify. The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair. This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A proven 82% winner bought No despite only a weak liquidity signal, making the wallet track record the main reason to surface it.
Total
$2,648
Trades
1
Win Rate
82%
Wallet P&L
+$168
Analysis
- This bettor has won 82% of 66 resolved bets, giving this trade a stronger signal than the low alert score suggests.
- They bought No at 88¢ on a wide-spread market, implying confidence Powell stays Fed Chair through the deadline.
- The position is meaningful for this market at $2.6k, about one-third of the past day’s volume.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 88¢
Detected May 15, 2026 at 10:08 PM