Part of: Jerome Powell departs as Fed Chair by...?

Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of resignations or firings will not alone qualify. The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair. This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $3,000.

Categories: Politics, Trump, Fed, Jerome Powell, Fed Rates, federal reserve, fire, Fed Chair

Notable Trades

Serial cross-market bettor

A serial cross-market bettor with a 95% hit rate put $3,000 into Yes on a thin Powell market, though their lifetime P&L is slightly negative and price has since moved against them.

This bettor has won 95% of resolved trades across 1,191 markets, though mostly at very high prices.
The $3,000 buy was large for this market, equal to about 79% of reported 24h volume at the time.
They bought Yes at 89¢, while the market is now around 81¢, offering a cheaper entry than the original trade.

$3,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 95%