82% winner flipped to No
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Surface because this is a proven sharp wallet with an 82% win rate, $2.17M lifetime profit, and extensive cross-market success flipping into No on this KY-04 nomination market.
Total
$1,474
Trades
1
Win Rate
79%
Wallet P&L
+$3,842,243
Analysis
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $2.17M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 118 events with $4.7M traded.
- They closed a prior Yes position and bought No at 58¢, signaling a changed thesis.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 58¢
Detected May 17, 2026 at 2:17 AM