Sharp political bettor

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
A proven profitable bettor with an 82% resolved win rate bought a large No position in a quiet Colombia election market despite only a weak low-activity signal.
Total
$1,930
Trades
1
Win Rate
82%
Wallet P&L
+$44,372
Analysis
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $44K lifetime.
- The $1.9K buy was larger than the market’s entire 24h volume, suggesting strong conviction in a quiet market.
- They bought No at 85¢, and the market has already moved to about 94¢.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 85¢
Detected May 17, 2026 at 7:16 PM