Part of: Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,930.

Categories: Global Elections, World, Politics, Elections, Colombia Election, Colombia

Notable Trades

Sharp political bettor

A proven profitable bettor with an 82% resolved win rate bought a large No position in a quiet Colombia election market despite only a weak low-activity signal.

  • This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $44K lifetime.
  • The $1.9K buy was larger than the market’s entire 24h volume, suggesting strong conviction in a quiet market.
  • They bought No at 85¢, and the market has already moved to about 94¢.

$1,930 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%

Top Holders

  1. 0xcb25...5ab5 Yes, $16,417
  2. 0x682d...31ab No, $14,855 (82% win rate)
  3. 0x3dca...3c13 No, $10,014 (82% win rate)
  4. 0xdbd0...2e83 Yes, $8,610
  5. 0x8718...d6dd Yes, $8,466
  6. 0x69b0...f521 Yes, $8,457
  7. 0xf92a...a517 No, $7,703 (91% win rate)
  8. 0x23d8...0288 No, $4,037 (75% win rate)
  9. 0x45a3...12f0 No, $2,826
  10. 0xbdb1...abf9 Yes, $2,527

Related Theses

Covers 5 related markets

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Ivan Cepeda wins presidency

Covers 2 related markets

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?

10dWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?$1,930 tracked1 signalGlobal ElectionsWorldPoliticsElectionsColombia ElectionColombia
Yes
6¢
No
95¢

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

Price History — “No
93¢
88¢
82¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?

3d ago

$1,930 on No at 85¢

85¢95¢10¢

Related Theses