Elite political trader buys NO
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Sharp, highly profitable cross-market trader bought $18.5k of No after a major move against Massie, making this a strong copy-trade candidate despite the market's liquidity.
Total
$18,453
Trades
1
Win Rate
79%
Wallet P&L
+$3,842,243
Analysis
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up about $2.17M lifetime.
- They bought $18.5k of No, adding to a broader event thesis across related markets.
- Massie’s Yes odds are down 30.5 points this week, and this trader is pressing the move at 59¢ No.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 59¢
Detected May 18, 2026 at 5:11 PM