Elite political bettor buys NO
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
A highly profitable 82% win-rate political bettor reversed into No on a liquid KY-04 nomination market and the price has already moved sharply in their favor.
Total
$2,510
Trades
1
Win Rate
79%
Wallet P&L
+$3,842,243
Analysis
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $2.17M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market political trader with $4.86M tracked across 190 markets.
- They bought No at 63¢ and the market has already moved to 72¢, suggesting fast confirmation of the thesis.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 63¢
Detected May 19, 2026 at 10:28 PM