Proven political cross-market bettor

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be President of Cuba for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Miguel Díaz-Canel and the government of Cuba; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sharp serial cross-market trader with a 75% win rate and +$161k lifetime P&L bought No on Díaz-Canel leaving office by June 30.
Total
$1,400
Trades
1
Win Rate
70%
Wallet P&L
-$91,071
Analysis
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades across 1,040 markets and is up $161k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 164 events with $1.66M total deployed.
- Buying No at 81¢ suggests confidence that Díaz-Canel remains Cuba’s leader through June 30.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 81¢
Detected May 21, 2026 at 2:15 AM