Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be President of Cuba for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Miguel Díaz-Canel and the government of Cuba; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $3,176.

Notable Trades

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?

A high-volume serial cross-market trader with a strong 73% win rate is taking a sizable fresh position on No in a political market at 66¢, now marked at 70¢.

  • This bettor has won 666 of 909 resolved markets and is up about $106.9k overall
  • They trade across many related markets with a track record over 104 events and put $3.2k into No here
  • The bet was made at 66¢ and the market is already at 70¢, showing early favorable movement

$3,176 on No | Wallet win rate: 73%

Top Holders

  1. 0x53e5...6177 Yes, $37,913 (42% win rate)
  2. 0x9c8e...9883 Yes, $28,274
  3. 0xe49c...481b No, $20,618
  4. 0x6989...b412 No, $19,011
  5. 0xa022...77f8 No, $13,768 (71% win rate)
  6. 0x52a8...c5ed Yes, $11,672
  7. 0x6139...6b7a No, $11,048 (69% win rate)
  8. 0xb4f2...e5fa No, $8,649 (69% win rate)
  9. 0x2881...2091 Yes, $6,662
  10. 0x74db...4ca5 Yes, $6,000

Related Theses

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?

88d$3,176 tracked1 signalPoliticsGeopoliticsVenezuelaTrumpCuba
Yes
28¢
No
72¢

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be President of Cuba for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Miguel Díaz-Canel and the government of Cuba; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Notable Trades

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?

2h ago

$3,176 on No at 66¢

66¢72¢6¢

Related Theses

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? | PolySpotter